Introduction of Technical Analysis

Technical analysis is a widely used method for evaluating securities in the financial markets. By analyzing market statistics, such as past prices and volumes, traders and investors can gain insights into market trends and patterns that can help inform their investment decisions. Technical analysis is based on the belief that charts and technical indicators can provide valuable information about the direction of prices. However, it is important to note that technical analysis is not foolproof, and should be used in conjunction with fundamental analysis to fully understand the underlying factors driving the market. This introduction provides a brief overview of technical analysis and highlights its importance as a tool for traders and investors.

Price and volume are two key concepts in the world of trading and investing. Price refers to the amount of money that is charged for a product or service, and volume refers to the number of units of a product or service that are traded in a given period of time. In the context of the financial markets, price and volume are often used together to analyze the performance of a security, such as a stock or bond. For example, if a stock has a high price and a high volume, it may indicate that there is strong demand for the stock and that investors are willing to pay a premium for it. On the other hand, if a stock has a low price and a low volume, it may indicate that there is weak demand for the stock and that investors are not willing to pay a high price for it. By analyzing the relationship between price and volume, traders and investors can gain valuable insights into the market and make more informed investment decisions.

Market/Price Action-

The world of trading and investing is constantly evolving, and understanding market and price action is essential to making informed investment decisions. Price data, which is also known as “market action,” encompasses a variety of data points for a specific security over a certain time frame. This includes the open, high, low, close, volume, or open interest for a stock, commodity, or currency.

The time frame for price data can vary and can be based on intraday (1-minute, 5-minutes, 10-minute, 15-minute, 30-minute, or hourly), daily, weekly, or monthly intervals. The longer the time frame, the more reliable the trend analysis can be.

Technical Analysis Working

Technical Analysis Working Technical Analysis is basically the study of an asset’s current and previous prices. The main underlying assumption of technical analysis is that fluctuations in the price of an asset are not random and generally evolve into identifiable trends over time.

At its core, Technical Analysis is the analysis of the market forces of supply and demand, which are a representation of the overall market sentiment. In other terms, the price of an asset is a reflection of the opposing selling and buying forces, and these forces are closely related to the emotions of traders and investors (essentially fear and greed).

To expand on technical analysis, it involves analyzing price charts and other market data to identify patterns and trends that can help predict future price movements. Technical analysts use various tools and techniques to make sense of this data, such as moving averages, trend lines, and momentum indicators.

One key concept in technical analysis is the idea of support and resistance levels. These are levels at which the price of an asset has historically shown a tendency to bounce off of or break through. Technical analysts also look for chart patterns such as head and shoulders, double tops and bottoms, and triangles, which can signal potential price reversals.

While technical analysis has its critics who argue that it relies too heavily on past performance and doesn’t take into account fundamental factors that can impact the price of an asset, many traders and investors use it as a tool in combination with other forms of analysis to make trading decisions.

Effective Technical Analysis –

Technical Analysis is considered more reliable and effective in markets that operate under normal conditions, with high volume and liquidity. The high-volume markets are less susceptible to price manipulation and abnormal external influences that could create false signals and render Technical Analysis useless.

Liquidity- Market liquidity is the extent to which a market allows for assets to be bought and sold at fair prices. These are the prices that are the closest to the intrinsic value of the assets. In this case, intrinsic value means that the lowest price a seller is willing to sell at (ask) is close to the highest price a buyer is willing to buy at (bid). The difference between these two values is called the bid-ask spread.

Quick & Time Saving –

Quite simply, technical analysis is a fantastic tool for making and saving you money. Nowadays everyone wants to trade day by day or swing basis (10/15 Days position), here we can’t apply fundamental analysis so we need to analyze stock trends with the help of price. It saves you bundles of time (over the fundamental analyst). You will find it removes huge chunks of the ‘psychological’ game of trading and investing from the equation. It creates discipline and is essential for the risk and trade management of your portfolio – whether that be knowing when to take profits, setting stops, or getting out of bad trades.

Assumptions in Technical Analysis –

Technical Analysts don’t care whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued. In fact, the only thing that matters is the stock’s past trading data (price and volume) and what information this data can provide about the future movement in security. Technical Analysis is based on a few key assumptions. One needs to be aware of these assumptions to ensure the best results.

1. Price Discount Everything –

Demand and supply create price and this price includes all things. Technical Analysis assumes that the company’s fundamentals, along with broader economic factors and market psychology, are all priced into the stock, removing the need to actually consider these factors separately. This only leaves the analysis of price movement, which technical theory views as a product of the supply and demand for a particular stock in the market.

Price Discount Everything is not the discount act of god.

2. Price Moves in Trend –

One of the biggest assumptions technical analysis makes is that prices follow trends and aren’t random. They follow a given trend, which can be either bullish/long or bearish/short, following identifiable patterns that tend to repeat over time. Whenever a trend is established, the underlying asset is likely to continue moving in a given direction until a new trend is established.

When it comes to price movements, technical analysts believe that price moves, in short, medium, and long-term trends. For long-term traders who hold trades for days, weeks, or months, long-term charts such as hourly, daily, and weekly charts become most valuable. Short-term traders who hold trades for minutes should pay attention to short-term charts, which can be in five- and 15-minute periods.

3. History Tends to Repeat Itself –

The basic idea in technical analysis is that history will always repeat itself, be it in the short term or long term. For this reason, technical analysts spend most of their time trying to understand past price movements to try and accurately predict future price movements.

The repetitive nature of price movements makes it possible to predict future price movements. The repetitive aspect is based on the fact that both human behavior and human history repeat themselves.

Classic chart patterns, such as channels and trends as well as rectangles, ranges, tops, and bottoms, are some of the results of predictable human behavior. Technical analysts look for these patterns because most of the time they provide a predictable outcome.