Phase 1 · Market Foundations

    IPOs — Initial Public Offerings Explained

    An IPO is a company's debut on the stock market. Learn the full machinery — book building, the price band, ASBA, the QIB/HNI/retail buckets, the allotment lottery, listing day and lock-in expiry — and how to judge one without the hype.

    Beginner → Intermediate18 min read12 sectionsUpdated 2026-09-02

    When a private company sells shares to the public for the first time, it launches an IPO and becomes listed. IPOs are exciting and heavily marketed, but excitement is not a strategy. This lesson walks through every mechanical step, with the rupee arithmetic shown, and then gives you a cold way to decide whether one deserves your money.

    Every few weeks, a new IPO grips the Indian market. Friends apply 'because everyone is', channels track the grey market premium, and listing-day gains become dinner-table talk.

    Then, months later, a quieter story unfolds: a good number of those hyped issues trade well below their listing price, and the people who chased them are nursing losses they did not plan for.

    IPOs can be genuine opportunities. But an IPO is, at heart, a sale — organised by the seller, priced by the seller, and timed by the seller. This lesson gives you the mechanics and the judgement to be a buyer rather than an audience.

    An IPO is a company's decision to sell — at a price and time that suits the seller, not necessarily the buyer.
    Learning Path
    Why the market existsHow an exchange worksHow shares are first issuedHow allotment and listing workHow to judge an issue
    Section 1

    What an IPO Is — and Who Actually Gets the Money

    Fresh issue versus offer for sale

    An IPO (Initial Public Offering) is when a private company offers its shares to the public for the first time and gets listed on a stock exchange such as the NSE or BSE. It is the company's debut on the public stage.

    But 'the company is raising money' is often only half true, and the half that is untrue costs people money. Every IPO is made of two possible components, and you must know the mix before you apply.

    A fresh issue creates brand new shares. The money paid for them goes into the company's bank account, and the company must state in its offer document exactly what it will do with it — build capacity, repay debt, fund working capital. This dilutes existing shareholders, because the profit pie is now cut into more slices, but the business gets stronger.

    An Offer for Sale (OFS) creates nothing. Existing shareholders — promoters, early investors, private equity funds — sell shares they already own. The money goes to them, not to the company. Share count does not change, and the business is exactly as strong or weak the day after listing as the day before.

    Neither is automatically bad. An early investor selling after ten years is normal and healthy. But an issue that is almost entirely an OFS is a liquidity event for insiders, not a growth event for the business — and you should price that difference into your expectations, not discover it later.

    One issue, two very different halvesillustrative split of a ₹1,200 cr issueFresh ₹300 crnew shares createdOffer for sale ₹900 crexisting shares change handswhat applicants collectively payThe companybuilds, expands, repays debtyour stake is diluted, business gets strongerThe selling shareholderspromoters, early investors, fundsbusiness is unchanged the next dayCheck thesplit firstit is in the RHP
    Key Ideas
    • An IPO is a company's first sale of shares to the public
    • Fresh issue = new shares, money to the company
    • Offer for sale = existing shares, money to the sellers
    • Most IPOs are a mix; the mix is stated in the offer document
    Fresh issueOffer for sale (OFS)
    Where the money goesInto the company's bank accountTo the selling shareholders
    New shares createdYes — total share count risesNo — ownership simply changes hands
    Effect on the businessMore cash to build, expand, or repay debtNone at all
    Effect on existing holdersTheir stake is dilutedTheir stake is unchanged
    What to checkThe stated use of proceedsWho is selling, and how much of their stake
    The two halves of an IPO, and why the difference matters to you.
    Example
    An issue of ₹1,200 crore is announced. Read the split: if ₹300 crore is fresh and ₹900 crore is an OFS, only a quarter of the money you are collectively paying ever reaches the business. The other three-quarters is a change of owner.
    Takeaway
    Always check the fresh issue versus OFS split before anything else. It tells you whether you are funding a business or buying out an insider.
    Section 2

    Primary vs Secondary Market

    Where shares are born versus where they are traded

    An IPO happens in the primary market — where shares are issued and you buy from the company or a selling shareholder rather than from another investor. Once the stock lists and starts changing hands, all of that activity happens in the secondary market, which is the everyday NSE and BSE screen.

    The difference is not academic. In the primary market you apply, wait, and may or may not receive an allotment; you have no control over the quantity you get. In the secondary market you decide the exact quantity, see the live price, and get an immediate answer.

    The primary market also has a rhythm you cannot influence. An issue is open for a fixed window of a few days, the price band is set by the company and its bankers, and the timing is chosen when market conditions suit the seller. You are a price-taker in every sense.

    This leads to the single most calming fact about IPOs: missing one costs you nothing structural. The company does not disappear. Once listed, it trades every day like any other stock, and you can buy it later — often at a calmer price, with a couple of quarterly results already published for you to read.

    PRIMARY — IPO, FPO, rights, QIPYouapply for new sharesThe companybuilds with the money₹ into the companynewly created sharesSECONDARY — the NSE/BSE screen you watch all dayYou (buyer)buy at the going priceAnother investorwho wanted to sellThe companyreceives nothingThe secondary market funds no company — it supplies the liquidity that makes the primary market possible.
    Key Ideas
    • Primary market: shares issued, you buy from the company or seller
    • Secondary market: existing shares traded between investors
    • In an IPO you are a price-taker on both price and quantity
    • Missing an IPO is never fatal — the stock trades on afterwards
    IPO (primary)After listing (secondary)
    Who you buy fromThe company or a selling shareholderAnother investor
    Quantity you getDecided by allotment — possibly zeroExactly what you order
    PriceSet by the issuer within a bandLive, discovered by the market
    Information availableThe offer document onlyOffer document plus post-listing results
    TimingA fixed window chosen by the sellerAny trading day you choose
    Applying in an IPO versus buying the same stock after listing.
    Takeaway
    IPOs are the primary market, where the seller sets the terms. Everyday trading is the secondary market, where you do. Missing an issue simply moves your decision to a market where you have more control.
    Section 3

    The IPO Journey: DRHP to Listing

    Every stage, in order

    An IPO is not an announcement; it is a long regulated process, and the documents produced along the way are where the real information sits.

    It starts with the DRHP — the Draft Red Herring Prospectus — filed with SEBI. This is the full disclosure document: financials for several years, a description of the business, litigation, related-party transactions, risk factors, and how the company intends to use the money. SEBI reviews it and issues observations, which the company must address.

    The DRHP does not contain the price. Once observations are cleared, the company files the RHP (Red Herring Prospectus), which adds the price band and the issue dates. On the working day before the issue opens to the public, anchor investors — large institutions — bid and are allotted shares. Then the issue opens for a few days, closes, and the registrar prepares the basis of allotment.

    After allotment, money is unblocked for unsuccessful applicants, shares are credited to successful ones, and the stock lists. SEBI has compressed this final stretch: listing must happen within three working days of the issue closing, so the gap between paying and knowing is short.

    You do not need to read all several hundred pages. Read three things: the Risk Factors, the Objects of the Issue (what the money will be used for), and the financial summary. Everything else is context.

    The documented sequence1DRHPno price2SEBIobservations3RHPprice band4AnchorT−1 day5Openyou apply6Allotmentregistrar7Listingwithin 3 daysa price exists only from the RHP onwardsRead three sections: Risk Factors · Objects of the Issue · financial summary
    Key Ideas
    • The DRHP is the full disclosure document, filed with SEBI, without a price
    • The RHP adds the price band and the issue dates
    • Anchor investors bid one working day before the issue opens
    • Listing happens within three working days of the issue closing
    StageWhat happensWhat you learn
    DRHP filed with SEBIFull draft disclosure document is made publicBusiness, financials, risks, use of proceeds — no price
    SEBI observationsSEBI reviews and the company respondsWhether the disclosure needed changes
    RHP filedPrice band and issue dates are addedWhat you would actually be paying
    Anchor bookLarge institutions bid one working day before openingWhich institutions were willing to commit, and at what price
    Issue openPublic applies through ASBA/UPILive subscription figures by category
    Basis of allotmentThe registrar decides who gets whatWhether you received shares
    ListingWithin three working days of closureThe market's first real opinion on the price
    The stages of an Indian IPO, and what each one gives you.
    Pro Tip
    Read the Risk Factors section first, not last. Companies are legally required to disclose what can go wrong, and that section is the only part of an offer document written against the seller's interest.
    Takeaway
    The IPO process is a documented sequence, and the offer documents are free. Risk Factors, Objects of the Issue, and the financial summary are the three sections that actually change decisions.
    Section 4

    Book Building vs Fixed Price

    How the issue price is actually decided

    There are two ways to price an IPO in India, and almost every large issue uses the first.

    In a fixed price issue, the company states one price in the prospectus before the issue opens. You either accept it or you do not. Demand is only visible after the issue closes, so nobody knows during the offer whether it is popular.

    In a book-built issue, the company states a price band — a floor and a cap — and investors bid at any price within it. The regulator caps how wide that band can be: the ceiling cannot be more than 120% of the floor. So a floor of ₹440 permits a cap no higher than ₹528.

    As bids arrive, the exchanges publish the demand at each price level, live, for anyone to see. When the issue closes, the company and its bankers set the issue price at the highest price at which the entire issue can be sold. That price is called the cut-off price, and everyone who bid at or above it is eligible for allotment — all of them paying the same final price.

    That last point surprises people. If you bid ₹462 and the cut-off is set at ₹448, you pay ₹448, not ₹462. Bidding high does not make you pay more; it makes you eligible. This is why retail investors are permitted to tick the cut-off box and skip choosing a number altogether.

    Where the cut-off price comes fromillustrative issue of 1,00,000 shares — cumulative demand at or above each bid₹46240,000₹45575,000₹4481,05,000₹4401,55,000issue size 1,00,000← cut-off ₹448first price fully coveredBid ₹462 → you pay ₹448. Bid ₹448 → you pay ₹448. Bid ₹440 → below cut-off, no allotment.
    Key Ideas
    • Fixed price: one price stated upfront, demand known only afterwards
    • Book building: a band, live demand, and a discovered cut-off price
    • The cap of the band cannot exceed 120% of the floor
    • Everyone allotted pays the same cut-off price, whatever they bid
    Fixed price issueBook-built issue
    PriceStated upfront in the prospectusA band; the final price is discovered from bids
    Demand visibilityKnown only after the issue closesPublished live, by category, each day
    How you bidAt the stated price onlyAt any price in the band, or at cut-off
    Common useSmaller issuesAlmost all large issues
    The two pricing methods, side by side.
    Bid priceShares bid at this priceCumulative demand at or aboveIssue fully covered?
    ₹46240,00040,000No
    ₹45535,00075,000No
    ₹44830,0001,05,000Yes ← cut-off price
    ₹44050,0001,55,000Yes, but at a lower price
    Finding the cut-off price. The issue is 1,00,000 shares; the price is set where cumulative demand first covers it.

    Scroll for the full table →

    Example
    In the table above, ₹448 is the highest price at which all 1,00,000 shares can be sold. So ₹448 becomes the issue price. Someone who bid ₹462 pays ₹448 and gets the ₹14 per share difference unblocked; someone who bid ₹440 gets nothing at all, because their bid was below the cut-off.
    Takeaway
    Book building discovers a single cut-off price from live demand, and everyone allotted pays that same price. Bidding below the cut-off wins you nothing — it removes you from the allotment entirely.
    Section 5

    Price Band, Lot Size & Cut-off

    Working out exactly what you are committing

    You do not buy IPO shares one at a time. You bid in lots, and the lot size is set so that a single retail application comes to a small, standardised rupee amount — which is why lot sizes look arbitrary, like 32 shares or 66 shares. The odd number is a consequence of the fixed rupee target, not a signal about the company.

    Your commitment is calculated at the top of the band, always. Even if you expect the final price to be lower, the amount blocked in your bank account is the lot size multiplied by the upper price band, multiplied by the number of lots you apply for. If the issue is priced below the cap, the difference is released back to you after allotment.

    Retail investors — those applying for up to ₹2 lakh — can bid at cut-off, which means accepting whatever final price emerges within the band. This removes the risk of bidding too low and being excluded. Institutional and non-institutional bidders do not get this option; they must name a price.

    One boundary to respect: the ₹2 lakh line. Apply for ₹2 lakh or less and you are in the retail category with retail allotment rules. Cross it, even by a few thousand rupees, and you are bidding in the non-institutional category, competing under entirely different rules and losing the cut-off option.

    What one lot actually commitsillustrative band ₹440–₹462, lot of 32 shares₹462 capcap ≤ 120% of floor₹440 floorbid anywherein the bandBlocked at the CAP, always:32 × ₹462 = ₹14,784priced at ₹450? you pay ₹14,400, ₹384 is released13 lots = ₹1,92,192retail — cut-off bidding allowed14 lots = ₹2,06,976crosses ₹2 lakh — the whole application becomes NIIOdd lot sizes are arithmetica fixed rupee target, never a signal
    Key Ideas
    • Lot size is set so one retail application lands near a fixed rupee amount
    • The amount blocked is always calculated at the upper end of the band
    • Cut-off bidding is available to retail applicants only
    • ₹2 lakh is the boundary between the retail and non-institutional categories
    Example
    Full arithmetic. Price band ₹440–₹462, lot size 32 shares. One lot at cut-off blocks 32 × ₹462 = ₹14,784 in your bank account. If the issue is finally priced at ₹450, you pay 32 × ₹450 = ₹14,400 and ₹384 is unblocked.
    Example
    Staying inside retail: at ₹14,784 per lot, 13 lots is 13 × ₹14,784 = ₹1,92,192 — inside the ₹2 lakh retail limit. A 14th lot takes it to ₹2,06,976, which pushes the whole application into the non-institutional category.
    Watch Out
    The blocked amount must genuinely be available in your bank account through the whole period, and it is not usable meanwhile. Applying with money you need for something else in that window is a self-inflicted problem, whatever the IPO does.
    Takeaway
    Your commitment is lot size × upper band × number of lots, blocked until allotment. Bid at cut-off if you are retail, and keep the total under ₹2 lakh to stay in the retail category.
    Section 6

    ASBA & UPI: Your Money Is Blocked, Not Debited

    How the payment mechanism protects you

    This is one of the genuinely investor-friendly parts of the Indian system, and it is worth understanding rather than clicking through.

    Every public issue application uses ASBA — Application Supported by Blocked Amount. When you apply, your bank places a lien on the money in your own account. The amount is earmarked and cannot be spent, but it does not leave your account and it continues to earn whatever interest that account pays.

    Only if you receive an allotment is the money actually debited, and only for the shares you were allotted. If you get nothing, the block is simply released. If you get a partial allotment or the issue is priced below the cap, only the required portion is debited and the rest is released.

    For retail-sized applications the block is authorised through UPI. You apply via your broker or bank, receive a mandate request on your UPI app, and approve it — that approval is what creates the block. The UPI route currently supports applications up to ₹5 lakh, which covers all retail applications and smaller non-institutional ones. Larger applications go through the bank's ASBA facility directly.

    The practical failure mode is not fraud; it is inattention. A UPI mandate that is not approved before the cut-off time simply means no valid application — your money was never blocked, and you were never in the running.

    The money never leaves your account until allotmentYour bank account₹14,784 blockedrest of your balance, usableearmarked · still earning your account's interest1You apply2UPI mandate3Amount blocked4Bid at exchange5Allotment6Debit or releaseAllotteddebited only for the shares you receivedNot allottedthe block is simply released — nothing was paid
    1. You apply
    Through your broker's platform or your bank's net banking, choosing lots and bidding at cut-off or a specific price.
    2. Mandate request
    A UPI mandate arrives in your UPI app. Approving it authorises your bank to block the amount.
    3. Money is blocked
    The amount is earmarked in your own account. It cannot be spent, but it does not leave, and it keeps earning your account's interest.
    4. Bid reaches the exchange
    Your bid appears in the live subscription figures published by the exchanges each day of the issue.
    5. Allotment
    The registrar finalises the basis of allotment after the issue closes.
    6. Debit or release
    Allotted shares are paid for and credited to your demat; everything else is unblocked and free to use again.
    Key Ideas
    • ASBA blocks money in your own account instead of taking it
    • The block only becomes a debit if and to the extent you are allotted shares
    • UPI mandates support applications up to ₹5 lakh
    • An unapproved mandate means no valid application at all
    Pro Tip
    Approve the UPI mandate the same day you apply, and check your bank's blocked-amount statement to confirm the lien exists. An application without a confirmed block is not an application.
    Takeaway
    ASBA means your money is blocked, never handed over, and is debited only for shares actually allotted. The one thing you must do is approve the mandate in time.
    Section 7

    Who Gets What: QIB, NII, Retail & Anchor Investors

    The issue is divided before you ever apply

    An IPO is not a single pool that everyone competes in. It is divided into reserved buckets before the issue opens, and you can only compete inside your own bucket. Your odds have nothing to do with how the other buckets do.

    There are three main categories. QIBs are Qualified Institutional Buyers — mutual funds, insurers, banks, foreign institutional investors. NIIs are Non-Institutional Investors, everyone applying above ₹2 lakh, commonly called the HNI category. RIIs are Retail Individual Investors, applying up to ₹2 lakh.

    The split depends on the company. An issuer that meets SEBI's profitability and track-record conditions may allot up to half the issue to QIBs, with at least 15% to NIIs and at least 35% to retail. An issuer that does not meet those conditions must place at least 75% with QIBs, leaving at most 15% for NIIs and at most 10% for retail. That second structure is a signal in itself: the regulator is insisting that institutions, who can analyse it properly, take most of the risk.

    The NII bucket is itself split. One-third is reserved for applications between ₹2 lakh and ₹10 lakh, and two-thirds for applications above ₹10 lakh, so a smaller HNI is not competing directly against a very large one.

    Anchor investors sit inside the QIB portion. Up to 60% of the QIB bucket can be allotted to anchors, who bid one working day before the issue opens, at or above the final price, with a portion of that reserved for domestic mutual funds. Their shares are locked in — half for 30 days from allotment and half for 90 days — which is a detail worth remembering when you reach the section on lock-in expiry.

    The issue is divided before you applyIssuer meets track-record normsQIB 50%NII 15%RII 35%anchors — up to 60% of the QIB portion, locked 30 & 90 daysIssuer does not meet themQIB 75%NII 15%RII 10%anchors — up to 60% of the QIB portion, locked 30 & 90 daysRetail 3× subscribed? Only that number is your odds — QIB at 90× changes nothing for you.
    Key Ideas
    • You compete only inside your own category, not against the whole issue
    • Retail = up to ₹2 lakh; NII = above ₹2 lakh; QIB = institutions
    • A 75% QIB structure signals the issuer did not meet track-record norms
    • Anchors take up to 60% of the QIB portion and are locked in for 30 and 90 days
    CategoryWho qualifiesIssuer meets track-record normsIssuer does not
    QIBMutual funds, insurers, banks, FIIsUp to 50% of the issueAt least 75% of the issue
    NII / HNIApplications above ₹2 lakhAt least 15%Up to 15%
    Retail (RII)Applications up to ₹2 lakhAt least 35%Up to 10%
    Anchor (within QIB)Large institutions bidding pre-issueUp to 60% of the QIB portionUp to 60% of the QIB portion
    How an issue is divided between categories, under the two SEBI eligibility routes.
    Example
    Read the subscription figures correctly. An issue shows 'QIB 90 times, NII 40 times, Retail 3 times'. As a retail applicant, only that last number affects your odds — a roughly 1-in-3 chance at one lot, regardless of how enthusiastic the institutions were.
    Takeaway
    The issue is carved into QIB, NII and retail buckets before you apply, and your odds depend only on your own bucket's subscription. The size of the QIB reservation also tells you which eligibility route the issuer took.
    Section 8

    Oversubscription & How the Allotment Lottery Actually Works

    Why applying for more lots often changes nothing

    Oversubscription means more shares were bid for than are on offer. A retail subscription of 8 times means retail applicants collectively bid for eight times the shares reserved for them.

    SEBI's rule for the retail category is designed to spread shares widely rather than concentrate them. The registrar must first try to allot the minimum bid lot — one lot — to as many applicants as possible. Only if there are enough shares to give everyone one lot does anything larger get considered.

    So when an issue is heavily oversubscribed in retail, the arithmetic collapses to a simple lottery for one lot. Take the number of lots available in the retail bucket, divide by the number of retail applications, and that ratio is roughly everyone's chance. A computerised draw decides who gets it. There is no weighting for who applied first, who applied for more, or who has applied before.

    This is why applying for five lots instead of one usually does not multiply your odds in a heavily oversubscribed retail issue: the maximum you can receive is still one lot, and your application is still one entry in the draw. It does, however, block five times the money.

    Allotment is per PAN. Multiple applications under the same PAN are rejected, which is not a technicality — it is the rule that makes the one-lot-per-applicant design work at all.

    Oversubscribed retail is a draw, not a queueillustrative: 60 applicants, one lot each to as many as possible6 allotted≈ 1 in 10 at 10× subscription1 lot → ₹14,784 blockedone entry in the draw5 lots → ₹73,920 blockedstill one entry, still at most one lotallotment is per PAN — duplicates rejected
    Key Ideas
    • Retail allotment gives one lot to as many applicants as possible
    • Heavy oversubscription reduces retail allotment to a lottery for one lot
    • Extra lots block more money without improving a heavily oversubscribed draw
    • Allotment is per PAN — duplicate applications are rejected
    Retail applications receivedSubscriptionLots availableApproximate chance of one lot
    20,0001 times20,000Everyone gets a lot
    60,0003 times20,000About 1 in 3
    2,00,00010 times20,000About 1 in 10
    10,00,00050 times20,000About 1 in 50
    Retail allotment odds, worked through. Retail bucket = 10,00,000 shares, lot size = 50 shares, so 20,000 lots are available.

    Scroll for the full table →

    Example
    A retail subscription of 10 times means roughly a 1-in-10 chance of one lot. Applying for 5 lots at ₹14,784 each blocks ₹73,920 instead of ₹14,784 — and in that draw, still gets you at most one lot.
    Watch Out
    Treat a heavily oversubscribed IPO as what it is: a queue where most people leave empty-handed. Planning around an allotment you have a 1-in-10 chance of receiving is not a plan.
    Takeaway
    In an oversubscribed retail category, allotment is a per-PAN lottery for a single lot. Understand the odds before you block the money, not after.
    Section 9

    Listing Day Mechanics

    The special pre-open, and why the first price is not the IPO price

    Listing day does not start like a normal trading day. A newly listed stock has no previous close, no order book, and no history, so the exchange runs a longer special pre-open session before continuous trading begins.

    It works like the daily pre-open auction but stretched over about an hour from 9:00 to 10:00: orders are collected first without any matching, entry closes at a randomised moment, the exchange then computes the equilibrium price at which the maximum quantity can trade, matched trades execute at that single price, and a buffer period leads into normal continuous trading.

    That equilibrium price is the listing price. It is discovered from actual orders by everyone who wants in or out — including every applicant who received an allotment and would like to sell immediately. It has no mechanical relationship to the IPO price, to the grey market, or to any prediction made beforehand.

    The exchange also applies a price band on listing day so the stock cannot move without limit in its first hours. The width of that band depends on the size of the issue under the exchange's listing-day framework, and it is stated in the exchange's listing circular for that stock.

    One thing to be clear about: a big listing premium is not value being created. It is a transfer. Those who were allotted at the IPO price gain it, and those who buy in the first minutes pay it. Nothing about the underlying business changed between 9:59 and 10:00.

    Listing day starts with an auction, not a trade9:00orders collected~9:45entry closes, randomised~9:55equilibrium computed10:00continuous tradingquantity →₹520 listing pricemaximum quantity trades hereA premium is a transferallottee at ₹448 sells at ₹520 → +₹72buyer at ₹520 pays ₹72 more for the same businessnothing changed between 9:59 and 10:00A listing-day price band limits the debut move · illustrative prices only
    Key Ideas
    • Listing day begins with a special pre-open session, roughly 9:00 to 10:00
    • The listing price is an equilibrium price discovered from real orders
    • A listing-day price band limits how far the stock can move on debut
    • A listing premium is a transfer between participants, not value creation
    Example
    An issue priced at ₹448 discovers an equilibrium price of ₹520 in the special pre-open. An allottee who sells there gains ₹72 per share, or 16%. The buyer at ₹520 now owns a business whose fundamentals were identical at ₹448 — and pays 16% more for them.
    Watch Out
    The first hour of a newly listed stock has no price history, thin liquidity, and unusually wide spreads. It is one of the most difficult environments in the entire market to trade, and a poor place for a first-time investor to learn.
    Takeaway
    The listing price is discovered in a special pre-open auction from live orders, and a listing-day band constrains the move. A premium transfers money between participants; it does not add any to the company.
    Section 10

    Lock-in Expiry: The Overhang Nobody Mentions at Listing

    Why a stock can fall months after a strong debut

    On listing day, only a fraction of a company's shares can actually be sold. The rest are locked in — legally prevented from being sold for a defined period. This is deliberate: it stops insiders from selling into the excitement they helped create.

    The periods are set by regulation, and they are staggered. Anchor investors have half their shares released 30 days after allotment and the other half at 90 days. Other pre-IPO shareholders — early investors, employees who hold shares, private equity funds — are typically locked for six months. The promoters' minimum required contribution is held for the longest, and their holding above that minimum is released earlier.

    Now think about what happens when each of those dates arrives. The supply of freely sellable shares increases, sometimes sharply, on a date that was known and printed in the offer document all along. If those holders bought years ago at a fraction of the IPO price, they may be sitting on very large gains and be quite willing to sell.

    This is the overhang. It explains a pattern that confuses beginners: a stock lists strongly, drifts for weeks, and then falls hard on no visible news. There often is no news. There is simply more supply than there was the day before.

    None of this predicts direction. A strong business can absorb a lock-in expiry without much effect. But knowing the calendar means you are never surprised by it, and you are never told 'nobody could have seen that coming' when the dates were published before the issue even opened.

    Freely sellable shares, over timeshape is illustrative — the exact dates sit in each offer documentListingonly the issue floats30 daysanchors, first half+ supply90 daysanchors, second half+ supply~6 monthsother pre-IPO holders+ supplyPromotersexcess ~6 monthscore stake, longestMore supply on a known date is why a stock can fall months later with no news at all.
    Key Ideas
    • Only part of a company's shares are sellable on listing day
    • Anchor lock-in releases in two tranches: 30 days and 90 days
    • Other pre-IPO holders are typically locked for around six months
    • Expiry dates are published in advance in the offer document
    Who is locked inReleasedWhy it matters
    Anchor investors — first half30 days from allotmentThe earliest wave of institutional supply
    Anchor investors — second half90 days from allotmentOften lands near the first post-listing results
    Other pre-IPO shareholdersAround six monthsEarly investors with a very low cost base
    Promoters above minimum contributionAround six monthsOnly the excess above the required stake
    Promoters' minimum contributionLongest period, stated in the offer documentThe core stake, held well beyond the others
    The staggered lock-in calendar after an IPO. Exact periods are stated in the offer document for each issue.
    Pro Tip
    When you read an offer document, note the lock-in expiry dates in your own calendar. It costs a minute and it removes the biggest source of 'unexplained' post-listing weakness.
    Takeaway
    Lock-in expiries release fresh supply on dates that were known from the start. They do not guarantee a fall, but they explain a great many of them.
    Section 11

    GMP — The Grey Market Premium

    An unofficial, unregulated, unreliable number

    GMP (Grey Market Premium) is the price at which an IPO's shares are informally dealt before listing, quoted as a premium over the issue price. A GMP of ₹50 on a ₹448 issue implies an expectation of listing near ₹498.

    Three facts about it are worth more than the number itself. It is unofficial — it happens outside the exchanges. It is unregulated — no regulator supervises it, and there is no recourse if a deal is not honoured. And it is a thin market — a small volume of informal dealing produces the quoted figure that then gets reported everywhere.

    That combination has an obvious consequence: it can be influenced. A number that is thin, unofficial, and widely quoted is precisely the kind of number that benefits whoever wants demand to look strong.

    It is also frequently wrong in both directions. Strong grey market premiums have preceded weak listings, and modest ones have preceded strong debuts. There is no dependable relationship, and none should be expected from an informal market with no depth.

    Treat GMP, at most, as one weak reading of sentiment among many. It says something about what a small informal crowd currently expects. It says nothing at all about whether the business is worth owning.

    A thin, unofficial numberInside the exchange — regulated, deep, recordedGMPoutsidethin · no recoursewhat the GMP impliedlisted abovelisted belowWrong in both directions, repeatedly — schematic, not a study of real issues.It reports a small crowd's mood. It says nothing about what a business is worth.
    GMP tells you what a small, unregulated crowd currently feels. It tells you nothing about what a business is worth.
    Key Ideas
    • GMP is an unofficial premium quoted outside the exchanges
    • It is unregulated, thin, and therefore influenceable
    • It has been wrong in both directions, repeatedly
    • It reflects short-term sentiment, never business quality
    Watch Out
    Never apply to an IPO because the GMP is high. Dealing in the grey market itself carries no regulatory protection whatsoever, and applying on the strength of that number is a bet on a crowd's mood rather than on a company.
    Takeaway
    GMP is an unofficial, thin, unregulated sentiment reading with no reliable predictive record. Read it as gossip, not as data, and never as a reason to apply.
    Section 12

    How to Judge an IPO — and Why 'Guaranteed Listing Gain' Is False

    A cold checklist, and the honest risk

    Replace excitement with a checklist. Before applying, work through the questions below honestly. If the answers are weak, skipping is a perfectly good outcome — there is always another issue, and this one will trade in the secondary market anyway.

    Now the part the marketing never covers. The belief that an IPO means a guaranteed listing gain is false, and it is worth understanding exactly why rather than merely being told.

    Start with who chooses everything. The company and its bankers choose the timing, the price band, and how much to sell. They choose to come to market when sentiment is good and valuations are generous, because that is their job. No seller in any market prices their goods to guarantee the buyer a profit.

    Then note that a listing gain is not created wealth; it is a transfer between participants, and it can just as easily go the other way. A stock can list at a discount, and many have. Add the mechanics you have now learnt: heavy oversubscription means you probably will not get an allotment at all, and lock-in expiries release fresh supply on known dates in the months afterwards.

    Finally, be honest about what applying for a listing gain actually is. It is a short-term bet on sentiment over a few days, funded by blocking real money, with a low probability of even getting the shares. That is speculation. It can be done deliberately and in small size with your eyes open — but it should never be confused with investing, and it should certainly never be funded with borrowed money.

    Six questions before you block a rupeeProfitable?several years, not oneValuation vs peers?asking price vs tested pricePromoters credible?governance, litigation, RPTsWhere is the money going?growth and debt, or an exitDebt manageable?under new quarterly scrutinyWhat do Risk Factors say?written against the sellerThe seller picks the price, the timing and the size.A listing gain is never guaranteed.Educational illustration. Not investment advice; no issue is recommended.
    1. Is it profitable?
    Does the company make money today, or is it burning cash with a vague path to profit? Read several years of the financial summary, not one.
    2. Is the valuation reasonable?
    Compare the asking valuation with already-listed peers on the same measures. Listed peers have a market-tested price; the IPO has an asking price.
    3. Are the promoters credible?
    Track record, governance history, litigation, and related-party transactions — all disclosed in the offer document.
    4. Where is the money going?
    Growth capital and debt reduction strengthen the business. A large offer for sale simply changes who owns it.
    5. Is the debt manageable?
    High debt is a heavier burden for a company that has just started facing quarterly public scrutiny.
    6. What do the Risk Factors say?
    Customer concentration, regulatory dependence, pending litigation, promoter disputes. The company is legally obliged to tell you.
    Key Ideas
    • The seller chooses the price, the timing, and the size of the offer
    • A listing gain is a transfer between participants, not value created
    • Stocks can and do list at a discount
    • Applying for a listing gain is short-term speculation, not investing
    Watch Out
    Never borrow money to apply for an IPO in expectation of a listing gain. You would be paying certain interest for an uncertain allotment of an uncertain listing price — three unknowns funded by one certain cost.
    Watch Out
    Markets carry risk, including the risk of permanent loss of capital. This lesson is education, not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to apply for, buy, or sell any security. No specific issue is discussed or endorsed. For advice specific to your situation, consult a SEBI-registered professional.
    Takeaway
    Judge every issue on profitability, valuation, promoters, use of proceeds, debt, and the disclosed risks. And discard the idea of a guaranteed listing gain entirely — the seller sets the terms, and the gain, when it exists, is somebody else's money.

    Frequently Asked Questions

    What is an IPO in simple terms?

    An IPO (Initial Public Offering) is when a private company sells shares to the public for the first time and gets listed on a stock exchange. It can raise new capital for the company through a fresh issue, let existing shareholders sell through an offer for sale, or both. After listing, the stock trades freely in the secondary market like any other.

    What is the difference between a fresh issue and an offer for sale?

    In a fresh issue, new shares are created and the money goes into the company's bank account to be used as stated in the offer document. In an offer for sale, existing shareholders sell shares they already own and the money goes to them — the company receives nothing and its balance sheet is unchanged. Most IPOs are a mix, and the split is disclosed.

    How is the IPO price decided?

    In a book-built issue the company sets a price band whose cap cannot exceed 120% of the floor, investors bid within it, and the final cut-off price is set at the highest price at which the whole issue can be sold. Everyone allotted pays that same cut-off price, whatever they bid. In a fixed price issue, one price is stated in the prospectus upfront.

    How is IPO allotment decided when an issue is oversubscribed?

    You apply via ASBA/UPI, which blocks rather than debits your money. In the retail category the rule is to give one lot to as many applicants as possible, so heavy oversubscription becomes a computerised lottery for a single lot. If retail is subscribed 10 times, the chance of getting one lot is roughly 1 in 10. Allotment is per PAN, and duplicate applications are rejected.

    Should I apply for more lots to improve my chances?

    In a heavily oversubscribed retail issue it usually makes no difference. The maximum retail allotment in that situation is one lot, and your application is a single entry in the draw regardless of how many lots you bid for — while the blocked amount rises in proportion. Applying for more lots matters only when the retail category is not heavily oversubscribed.

    Are IPO listing gains guaranteed?

    No. A stock can list at a premium, at par, or at a discount, and many have listed flat or fallen. The seller chooses the price and the timing, so nothing in the structure works in the buyer's favour. A listing gain, when it happens, is a transfer from those who buy on debut to those who were allotted — not value created by the business.

    Why do some IPOs fall sharply a few months after listing?

    Often because of lock-in expiry. Only part of a company's shares can be sold on listing day; anchor investors are released in two tranches at 30 and 90 days, and other pre-IPO shareholders around six months. When those dates arrive, freely sellable supply increases on a schedule published in the offer document, which can pressure the price with no fresh news at all.

    RS
    Rohit Singh
    SEBI Registered Research Analyst · INH000015297

    Founder of Mr. Chartist. Helping Indian retail traders learn the markets the right way — price action, risk, and real businesses over hype.