Lesson 30

    How to Research a Stock

    One question, one exact share, one date. Read who pays the business, how it grows, what its profit is made of, what it owes, who owns it and what its price assumes, on one real company, and write it up as a dated note.

    In a bright reading room, Mr. Chartist holds a thick tabbed case file open and points into it while Maya, seated at the table, writes one page with a pen

    How to research a stock: ask one question you can check, confirm the exact share, then read who pays the company and for what, how it grows, how good its profit is, what it owes, who owns it and what its price assumes. Write it in a dated note: what you know, what you assume, what would change your mind.

    On the evening of 27 October 2026, Larsen & Toubro (L&T), India's engineering and construction group, reported that its profit for July to September had risen 33%. The next morning its shares opened 4.2% higher. In the same filing, the profit from its operations alone, before other income, interest, wear and tax, had risen less than 1%. Both numbers are true. Which one belongs in your notes?

    By the end you will be able to answer three questions: what question to start with, and how to know you are reading the right share; how to tell profit that will repeat from profit that may not, and how to judge what a company owes; and what P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA and dividend yield say about a price, and what they hide.

    Maya, who runs a burger restaurant and is learning to invest, is made up, and so are her four lines in chapter 8. Larsen & Toubro and Yes Bank are real, and every number about them comes from their own filings or from the records of NSE, the National Stock Exchange of India, with the date. L&T's numbers are for the whole group (consolidated) unless we say otherwise. Amounts are in Indian rupees (₹): one lakh is 100000 and one crore is 10 million. India's financial year runs from April to March: FY26 is April 2025 to March 2026. Where we do our own arithmetic, the figure says "derived".

    Chapter 1Question

    Start With a Question

    One question the filings can answer, about one exact share, on a date

    On Wednesday morning, 28 October 2026, between the prep and the lunch rush, Maya reads a headline: L&T's profit is up 33%, and its share has jumped. Since learning how to read an annual report, she can open the filing herself.

    Maya

    L&T's profit jumped 33% and the share rose. So it's a good company to own, isn't it?

    Mr. Chartist

    Good at what, Maya? "Is it good" has no page in any filing that can answer it.

    Maya

    Then what do I ask?

    Mr. Chartist

    A question the filings can settle. What does L&T earn, from whom, how well, and what is today's price assuming?

    Maya

    Like asking which dish pays the rent, not whether the menu looks nice.

    Mr. Chartist

    Exactly. And write today's date beside it. The answers change every quarter.

    A research question has three parts: what is true now, which the filings show; what you assume about later, which is your reading; and what would prove that reading wrong (chapter 8). Mr. Chartist opens a file and writes the question on its label: what does L&T earn, from whom, how well, with what debt and owners, and what does a price of ₹3837.10 assume?

    Then confirm the security, because a name is not an address. On 29 October 2026, five shares on NSE had symbols beginning with LT: (LT); three listed companies it controls, LTM for IT services (), LTTS for engineering services and LTF, L&T Finance, for loans; and LT Foods (LTFOODS), a different company that sells Daawat rice. The , a 12-character code given to each security, settles it: L&T's is INE018A01030.

    Figure 1The exact share

    Five shares begin with LT. The ISIN names one.

    Symbols that begin withLTNSE, 29 Oct 2026 · five matches
    SymbolCompanyISIN
    LTLarsen & Toubro LimitedLarsen & Toubro Limited
    The one this file is about. BSE code 500510; face value ₹2 a share.
    builds and makes: the parent
    INE018A01030
    LTMLTM LimitedLTM Limited
    Was LTIMindtree: its symbol changed from LTIM to LTM on 27 Feb 2026 and its name on 17 Apr 2026 (NSE circulars).
    IT services, controlled by L&T
    INE214T01019
    LTTSL&T Technology Services LimitedL&T Technology Services Limited
    A separate listed share with its own price. Owning L&T is not owning LTTS.
    engineering services, controlled by L&T
    INE010V01017
    LTFL&T Finance LimitedL&T Finance Limited
    L&T's lending arm, listed on its own with its own outside shareholders.
    loans, controlled by L&T
    INE498L01015
    LTFOODSLT Foods LimitedLT Foods Limited
    A different company altogether, formerly LT Overseas (renamed in Sep 2008). Same two letters, no link to L&T.
    rice (Daawat): not part of L&T
    INE818H01020
    The file's labelLarsen & Toubro LimitedNSE: LT · ISIN INE018A01030price: NSE close, Thu 29 Oct 2026whole group (consolidated)
    Hover or tap a company to see what it does and how it relates to L&T.

    Last, fix the date and the basis. The file records the price's date (the NSE close of Thursday 29 October 2026, ₹3837.10), the filings' dates (27 October 2026 for July to September; 5 May 2026 for the year to March) and the basis: the whole group, consolidated, as how to read an annual report explains. A number without its date cannot be checked again, and the answers change every quarter.

    Maya

    So who actually pays L&T, and for what?

    Chapter 2Who pays

    Who Pays, for What

    A builder is paid as the work goes up, so signed work says more than last quarter

    Know who hands the business its money and what they get for it. L&T is paid by whoever needs something big built or made: governments and their companies (sea bridges, metro lines, power lines, water works), oil and gas companies (offshore platforms, refineries), power and renewable-energy developers, and factories. Smaller parts of the group are paid by IT clients (LTM, LTTS), home buyers (L&T Realty) and borrowers (L&T Finance).

    A customer signs a contract: that is order inflow. L&T is paid as it builds, over months or years: that is revenue. Work signed but not yet billed is the . Maya's customers pay at the counter for a burger made in minutes; L&T is paid like a builder, as each floor goes up. The comparison stops at one point: an order can be delayed, changed or cancelled, so it is not money in the bank.

    In the year to March 2026, L&T's revenue was ₹285874 crore, 54% of it from outside India. It signed ₹435590 crore of new orders, a record, and its order book at 31 March 2026 was ₹740327 crore, about 2.6 years of that year's revenue (derived).

    Now the latest quarter, dated. From July to September 2026 it signed ₹147665 crore of orders, another quarterly record, 63% of them from abroad. By 30 September 2026 its order book was ₹853514 crore: about 2.8 years of the last four quarters' revenue (derived). Of that signed work, 46% is in India and .

    Figure 2Who pays

    Signed work worth about 2.8 years of revenue

    ₹853514crore of work signed, not yet builtL&T's order book, 30 Sep 2026
    Year 1
    Year 2
    0.8 of a year
    Where the signed work is46% India40% Middle East7% USA and Europe7% Rest of the world54% abroad, so a reader follows budgets in India and the Gulf
    2.8yearsAt 31 Mar 2026
    ₹740327 crore, about 2.6 years of FY26's revenue (₹285874 crore). Six months later: up 15%.

    One year of work = ₹300904 croreOne year of work
    ₹300904 crore: the revenue of the last four quarters, Oct 2025 to Sep 2026 (derived).
    , what L&T billed in its last four quarters. 46% of the signed work is in India, 40% in the Middle East.

    Atal Setu, Mumbaian L&T project: paid in stages as the bridge went up
    Hover or tap the bar to see where the signed work is.

    What it tells you: whose budgets the business depends on (governments and energy companies, in India and the Gulf), and how many years of work are queued. What it does not tell you: how much profit that work will leave. That is the next chapter.

    Maya

    The orders keep growing. Does L&T keep as much of each rupee?

    Chapter 3Growth

    Growth and Margins

    How much more was sold, and how much of each rupee was kept

    Maya

    So how do I see how much of each rupee L&T keeps?

    Mr. Chartist

    Take what the work earned before interest, tax and wear, and divide by sales. That is the margin.

    Maya

    And with all those orders, it must be rising?

    Mr. Chartist

    Sales rose 69% in three years. The margin stayed near 8 paise a rupee.

    Maya

    My busy nights on the cheap combo: the till fills faster than the profit.

    A margin is what is left from each rupee of sales after the costs of earning it. This lesson uses , earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation: what the operations earn before the cost of borrowing, the wear of machines and tax. An EBITDA margin of 8% means 8 paise kept from each rupee of sales, before those three.

    Four years first. L&T's building-and-making businesses (its own name for them is Projects, Products and Manufacturing) sold ₹124046 crore in FY23 and ₹209328 crore in FY26: 69% more in three years (derived). Their EBITDA margin was 8.2%, 7.7%, 7.8% and 7.8%: about 8 paise a rupee, every year.

    Then the latest quarter, for the whole group. From July to September 2026, sales rose 16% to ₹78750 crore, but the EBITDA margin was 8.7%, against 10.0% a year before, so operating profit (EBITDA) rose only 0.6% (derived). L&T's own reason is "lower margin across portfolio and change in revenue mix". Management's words are its reading; the margin is the fact.

    Figure 3Growth and margins

    Sales up 69% in three years; about 8 paise of each rupee kept

    Saleskept
    ₹124046croreFY23
    Sales ₹124046 crore
    Kept before interest, tax and depreciation: about ₹10172 crore, 8.2% (derived)
    ₹156681croreFY24
    Sales ₹156681 crore
    Kept before interest, tax and depreciation: about ₹12064 crore, 7.7% (derived)
    ₹186750croreFY25
    Sales ₹186750 crore
    Kept before interest, tax and depreciation: about ₹14567 crore, 7.8% (derived)
    ₹209328croreFY26
    Sales ₹209328 crore
    Kept before interest, tax and depreciation: about ₹16328 crore, 7.8% (derived)
    Kept of each ₹1EBITDA margin
    8.2%7.7%7.8%7.8%8 paise
    Bars show each year's revenue; the line shows how much of each rupee was kept as EBITDA.

    Figure 4Growth and margins

    Sales +16%, operating profit +0.6%: the margin fell from 10.0% to 8.7%

    Jul to Sep 2026whole group, against a year before

    +16%sales, to ₹78750 crore+0.6%operating profit (EBITDA): the margin fell
    10.0%8.7%
    L&T, the whole group, July to September 2026 against a year before.

    Why it matters here: on a ₹100 contract at an 8% margin, about ₹8 is left before interest, wear and tax. If dearer steel or a delay on site adds ₹2 of cost, a quarter of that ₹8 is gone (derived, an illustration). Thin margins are not good or bad on their own; they set how little room there is for things to go wrong (chapter 8).

    Maya

    Operating profit rose less than 1%, but profit rose 33%. Where did the rest come from?

    Chapter 4Quality

    Earnings Quality and Cash

    What the profit is made of, and whether it turned into cash

    Maya

    Profit up 33% while the operations barely moved. Is something wrong?

    Mr. Chartist

    Nothing is hidden: every line is in the filing. The question is what kind of profit it is.

    Maya

    What kinds are there?

    Mr. Chartist

    From the work, from interest on cash, or from a one-off. Each repeats differently.

    Earnings quality asks three things: does the profit come from the business's ordinary work, will it repeat, and did it turn into cash? It is not an accusation; it only asks what kind of profit it is.

    Take the quarter. L&T's profit for its owners rose by ₹1276 crore, from ₹3926 crore to ₹5202 crore. Taking the filing's lines apart (derived): other income, money earned outside the main work, added ₹922 crore, 72% of the rise; lower interest costs ₹290 crore, 23%; the operations themselves (EBITDA) ₹38 crore, 3%; and the rest, small items, a net ₹26 crore.

    Figure 5Earnings quality

    Profit rose ₹1276 crore. ₹922 crore of it was other income.

    Jul to Sep 2025₹3926 croreJul to Sep 2026₹5202 crore+₹1276 crore+33%, profit for L&T's owners

    Where the ₹1276 crore came from

    +₹922 croreOther income · 72%
    +₹290 croreLower interest costs · 23%
    +₹290 crore lower interest costs · 23%+₹38 crore operations (EBITDA) · 3%+₹26 crore the rest, netThe rest, net +₹26 crore
    Lower depreciation +₹55 crore
    Joint ventures +₹43 crore
    Children's other owners +₹5 crore
    More tax −₹77 crore

    L&T's words: other income rose on "higher group surplus funds & improved yields and one-time gain on divestment"; interest fell "primarily due to non-consolidation of Hyderabad Metro".

    Did it turn into cash? Yes: cash ran ahead of profitApril to September 2026
    Cash from operations, leaving out the lending arm: ₹17990 crore
    Profit for owners: ₹9325 crore
    About half the cash, ₹8720 crore, came from working capital: customers paying ahead, suppliers waiting (chapter 5).

    Where the rise in profit came from, line by line, with the cash check beside it.

    mostly what L&T earns on its cash and investments. L&T says it rose on "higher group surplus funds & improved yields and one-time gain on divestment" of a business at LTTS. Interest costs fell partly because the Hyderabad Metro, which L&T is selling, is no longer counted in the group.

    Nothing here is hidden or wrong: every line is in the filing. But it is a different kind of profit. Interest on a cash pile depends on the pile and on interest rates; a gain on selling a business happens once. A reader who writes "profit +33%" in the note should also write "mostly other income". That answers the opening question: both numbers belong in the note, side by side.

    One-offs can push the other way too. For the year to March 2026, L&T reported ₹16084 crore of profit after a of ₹1155 crore for employee benefits under India's new labour codes, and called ₹17238 crore its "recurring" profit. A company's "recurring" or "adjusted" number is its own measure: note both, and say which one you use.

    Last, the cash check. From April to September 2026, L&T's operations, leaving out its lending arm, brought in ₹17990 crore of cash, against ₹9325 crore of profit for its owners. Cash ran ahead of profit, and about half of it, ₹8720 crore, came from working capital: money customers paid ahead and money owed to suppliers. Why profit and cash differ is in how to read an annual report; here we only check the two against each other.

    Figure 6Earnings quality

    A one-time provision pushed FY26 profit down: ₹16084 crore reported, ₹17238 crore recurring

    The other directionyear to 31 Mar 2026₹16084 crore reported₹1155 crore one-timeA one-off pushed profit down: L&T calls ₹17238 crore its "recurring" profit. Note both, and say which you use.
    One year's reported profit beside the "recurring" profit L&T gives.
    Maya

    Cash came in ahead of profit. Is that the customers' money, or borrowed money?

    Chapter 5Debt

    Debt and Working Capital

    Whose debt it is, and who funds the daily work

    Maya

    My supplier bills me at the end of the month. Is that a kind of borrowing?

    Mr. Chartist

    In a way. For four weeks his money works in your kitchen.

    Maya

    And L&T's group owes over ₹1.3 lakh crore. That sounds huge.

    Mr. Chartist

    Split it first. Ask whose debt it is, and what it pays for.

    Start in Maya's kitchen. Her customers pay at the counter; her meat and bread supplier sends a bill at the end of the month. Say she buys ₹3 lakh of supplies a month (a made-up figure): for about four weeks, that ₹3 lakh is the supplier's money working in her kitchen. Working capital is the money tied up in day-to-day work: what customers still owe, stock on the shelves and work done but not yet billed, less what the business owes its suppliers and what customers have paid in advance.

    L&T's net working capital was 1.7% of revenue at 30 September 2026, against 10.2% a year before: a record low, in L&T's own words. Customers' advances and suppliers' credit fund almost all of its work, which is why cash ran ahead of profit in chapter 4. It can reverse: if advances slow or payments are delayed, cash would lag profit instead.

    Debt is one total and two businesses. The group owed ₹136227 crore in borrowings at 30 September 2026. About ₹123310 crore of it, about 90%, belongs to L&T Finance, its lending arm, : its loans to customers were about ₹136640 crore. The rest, about ₹12917 crore, sits beside ₹97435 crore of cash and short-term investments across the group. Split the total before judging it, the way an annual report splits the company from the group.

    Figure 7Working capital

    Net working capital fell to 1.7% of revenue, from 10.2% a year before

    Who funds the daily work?

    1.7%of revenue, L&T's net working capital at 30 Sep 2026, from 10.2% a year before

    Customers' advances and suppliers' credit fund almost all of it. Maya's version: ₹3 lakh of supplies on a month's credit is her supplier's money working in her kitchen for four weeks.

    Net working capital as a share of revenue, now and a year before. Maya's figures are made up.

    Figure 8Debt

    ₹136227 crore of borrowing. Nine-tenths is the lending arm's.

    Borrowings30 Sep 2026
    About ₹123310 croreabout 90%: L&T Finance, the lending armL&T Finance borrows to lend
    Its borrowing, about ₹123310 crore, funds about ₹136640 crore of loans to its customers. A lender's borrowing is its raw material.
    ₹12917 crorethe rest of the groupCash and short-term investments30 Sep 2026
    ₹97435 croreacross the groupAcross the group
    ₹97435 crore, of which about ₹45500 crore at L&T itself (the presentation's ₹455 bn).
    Borrowings split between the lending arm and the rest, beside cash.

    Can the profit carry it? divides operating profit by the interest on borrowing. From July to September 2026, L&T's operating profit (₹6845 crore) was about 14 times its finance costs (₹473 crore) (derived; the lending arm's own interest is counted among its operating costs). L&T's own figure for net debt, borrowing less cash, was a third of its equity. Due dates and terms are in the annual report's notes (how to read an annual report).

    Figure 9Debt

    Operating profit was about 14 times the interest it had to pay

    Can the profit carry the interest? · Jul to Sep 2026

    Operating profit₹6845 croreFinance costs₹473 croreabout 14×interest cover (derived)
    Operating profit divided by interest cost, for one quarter.
    Maya

    And who owns L&T? Is there a family in charge?

    Chapter 6Owners

    Ownership and Management

    Who owns the shares, who else shares the profit, and what management does

    Maya

    Most big Indian companies have a founding family. Who is L&T's?

    Mr. Chartist

    Nobody's. L&T has no promoter: funds, insurers, foreign investors, its employees' trust and the public own it.

    Maya

    Then who keeps watch over the people running it?

    Mr. Chartist

    The board and the big owners. And you, by reading what they do with the money.

    At 30 September 2026, L&T's 1375894989 shares were held by mutual funds (19.39%), insurance companies (19.27%), foreign portfolio investors (19.18%), the L&T Employees Trust (14.56%, the largest single holder) and everyone else (27.60%): other institutions (4.23%) and individuals, companies and others (23.37%). Its promoter, the founder or group that controls a company, holds 0%: L&T has none. Who takes part in the market explains promoters.

    What that means: no founding family's fortune rides on L&T, and there are no promoter pledges to check (margin, leverage and pledging explains pledges). The board, the large funds and insurers, and the employees' trust do the watching.

    Figure 10Owners

    No promoter: funds, insurers, foreign investors, its employees' trust and the public own L&T

    Who owns L&T's shares

    0%Promoter
    19.39%Mutual fundsMutual funds, 19.39%
    Indian mutual funds, together.
    19.27%InsurersInsurers, 19.27%
    Insurance companies, together.
    19.18%Foreign investorsForeign investors, 19.18%
    Foreign portfolio investors: 18.47% in category I and 0.71% in category II.
    14.56%Employees' trustEmployees' trust, 14.56%
    The L&T Employees Trust: 198679507 shares, the largest single holder.
    27.60%Everyone elseEveryone else, 27.60%
    Other institutions 4.23%; individuals, companies, depositary receipts and others 23.37%.

    No founding family controls it, so there are no promoter pledges to check. The board, the big funds and insurers and the employees' trust keep watch.

    Who held L&T's shares at 30 September 2026. Hover or tap a part for more.

    Figure 11Owners

    15% of the group's FY26 profit belonged to the other owners of its three listed children

    Who shares the group's profit · FY26, ₹18954 crore

    ₹16084 croreL&T's owners15%
    ₹2870 crore belonged to the other owners of its three listed children, LTM, LTTS and L&T Finance: not to L&T's.
    How much of FY26's group profit belonged to outside owners of L&T's listed companies.

    Who else shares the profit? L&T controls three listed companies, LTM, LTTS and L&T Finance, that have their own outside shareholders. Of the group's ₹18954 crore profit in FY26, ₹2870 crore, about 15%, belonged to those other owners, called , not to L&T's (derived). That is why this lesson says "profit for its owners".

    Judge management by actions on record. On 29 April 2026 L&T agreed to sell its whole stake in the Hyderabad Metro to a Telangana government company for ₹1461.47 crore, with completion now expected by 31 December 2026: a decision about where the owners' money is tied up, and one reason its interest costs fell (chapter 4). Read management's own words, such as its presentation's title "A Record Quarter amidst Volatility", as its reading, beside the numbers.

    Where to find it: the shareholding pattern is filed with the exchanges every quarter; the governance report sits in the annual report.

    Maya

    I know the business now. Is ₹3837.10 a lot to pay for a piece of it?

    Chapter 7Value

    Valuation Basics: P/E, P/B, EV/EBITDA, Yield

    What the price asks for, what each ratio hides, and what growth it assumes

    Maya

    So is ₹3837.10 expensive?

    Mr. Chartist

    A ratio can't say that. It says how many rupees the price asks for each rupee the business earns, owns or pays out.

    Maya

    Then what does a high ratio mean?

    Mr. Chartist

    That the price assumes more growth. Whether it comes is what the next years decide.

    One price, one date. L&T closed at ₹3837.10 on NSE on Thursday 29 October 2026. With 1375894989 shares, the whole company was valued at about ₹527945 crore, about ₹5.28 lakh crore (derived).

    Price to earnings (P/E) is the price divided by , the profit for owners divided by the number of shares. On the year to March 2026 (EPS ₹116.93) it is 32.8; on the last four quarters (EPS ₹129.86, derived) it is 29.5. Both are right; they use different years, which is why . Read it as: buyers paid about ₹33 for each ₹1 of the last full year's profit. Its blind side: it takes the profit as given (chapter 4) and ignores debt.

    Price to book (P/B) is the price divided by book value per share: what the accounts say belongs to the owners (₹113029 crore at 30 September 2026) divided by the shares, ₹821.49 (derived). L&T's P/B is 4.67. Its blind side: the books miss what no balance sheet records, such as skills, reputation and the order book; P/B says most about businesses whose assets are mostly money, such as lenders.

    Dividend yield is the last full year's dividend divided by the price. L&T paid ₹38 a share for FY26, so the yield is 0.99% (derived): owners received about ₹1 in cash for each ₹100 of today's price. Its blind side: a yield rises when a price falls, which can look like a gift when it is a warning. What is the stock market follows that ₹38 into one owner's year.

    Compared to what? A ratio needs a yardstick on the same day. NSE's own figures for the Nifty 50 on 29 October 2026 were a P/E of 19.19, a P/B of 2.82 and a dividend yield of 1.42% (NSE's method, not ours). So L&T's price asked more for each rupee of profit and of book than the index's companies did on average. That is a description. It says buyers expected more growth from L&T, or valued its signed work, or both; whether they are right is what the next years decide. Fair comparisons use one basis: the same earnings period, similar businesses, and the company's own past.

    Figure 12Valuation

    One price, three measuring sticks

    ₹3837.10L&T, NSE close, Thu 29 Oct 2026 · the whole company about ₹5.28 lakh crore (derived)
    Price ÷ earnings per shareWorking
    ₹3837.10 ÷ ₹116.93 = 32.8. On the last four quarters' EPS, ₹129.86 (derived): 29.5, the figure many apps show.

    Blind side
    Takes the profit as given (chapter 4) and ignores debt.
    ÷ ₹116.93 a share, FY26
    32.8
    Price ÷ book value per shareWorking
    What the accounts say belongs to the owners, ₹113029 crore, ÷ 1375894989 shares = ₹821.49; ₹3837.10 ÷ ₹821.49 = 4.67.

    Blind side
    The books miss skills, reputation and the order book.
    ÷ ₹821.49 a share, 30 Sep 2026
    4.67
    Dividend ÷ priceWorking
    ₹38 ÷ ₹3837.10 = 0.99%: about ₹1 in cash for each ₹100 of today's price.

    Blind side
    Rises when a price falls: a gift, or a warning.
    ÷ ₹38 a share, FY26
    0.99%
    A fourth stick, EV/EBITDA ≈ 19.6: rough for L&TEV/EBITDA, about 19.6
    Enterprise value ₹566737 crore (shares ₹527945 + borrowings ₹136227 − cash ₹97435) ÷ the last four quarters' EBITDA, ₹28988 crore (derived). It puts debt back in. Rough for L&T: nine-tenths of the borrowing is its lending arm's, and EV fits lenders badly. No index figure.
    Each ratio at L&T's close of 29 October 2026, beside the Nifty 50's. A higher ratio says the price assumes more.

    A fourth ratio puts debt back in. Enterprise value (EV) is what it would take to own the whole business: the shares' value, plus borrowings, less cash (market cap and stock categories). For L&T it was about ₹566737 crore; divided by the last four quarters' EBITDA (₹28988 crore, derived), that is an EV/EBITDA of about 19.6. It lets two companies with different borrowing compare more fairly. Its blind side here: nine-tenths of L&T's borrowing is its lending arm's (chapter 5), and EV fits lenders badly, so for L&T this ratio is rough.

    What the price assumes. Turn the P/E around: if L&T's earnings per share stayed at ₹129.86, ₹3837.10 would be 29.5 years of today's earnings. If they grew 10% a year for five years, the same price would be 18.3 times the fifth year's earnings (derived). The growth a price seems to assume goes in the middle column of the note in chapter 9, as an assumption, never as a forecast.

    Figure 13What the price assumes

    What growth does ₹3837.10 assume?

    Arithmetic, not a forecast

    18.3×₹3837.10 ÷ year-five earnings of ₹209.14 a shareEarnings per share, if they grew 10% a year
    Arithmetic on today's price, not a forecast: pick a growth rate and see what the price implies.
    Maya

    So the price assumes things keep going well. What could go wrong, and how would I know?

    Chapter 8Risks

    Risks and What Would Change Your Mind

    A few checkable lines, written before the news arrives

    Maya

    L&T's own list of risks is long. Do I copy it all?

    Mr. Chartist

    Keep the ones this file has already met, and make each one checkable.

    Maya

    Checkable how?

    Mr. Chartist

    A measure, today's reading, and the level where you'd read again. Written while you're calm.

    Start from the company's own list. In its results presentation of 27 October 2026, L&T names the risks to its outlook, among them time and cost overruns on contracts, competition at home and abroad, international operations, government policy, and interest and other costs. Keep the ones this file has already met: thin margins (chapter 3), 40% of signed work in the Middle East (chapter 2), profit growth carried by other income (chapter 4) and working capital that could reverse (chapter 5).

    Turn each into a line you can check: a measure, today's reading with its date, the level at which the reading would have to be redone, and where and when it is reported. Maya writes four. The levels are hers, made up for this lesson; they are not L&T's targets and not signals to buy or sell. Signed work falls below about two years of revenue (2.8 years at 30 September 2026, reported every quarter). The building-and-making EBITDA margin falls below 7% for a full year (7.8% in FY26, reported each year). Net working capital climbs back above 10% of revenue (1.7% at 30 September 2026, every quarter). Profit for owners grows mainly from other income for a whole year (72% of July to September 2026's rise, every quarter).

    Why write them early? , in February 2019. On Wednesday 13 February it said the RBI (India's central bank and bank regulator) had found no gap between its own count of bad loans and the RBI's for the year to March 2018. On 14 February its share closed 30.6% higher, at ₹221.25 (derived). On 15 February the bank disclosed a letter from the RBI calling that release a "deliberate attempt to mislead the public", as two news reports quoted it. On 26 April it reported its first quarterly loss since listing, about ₹1507 crore; on 30 April its share closed 29.2% lower, at ₹168.00 (derived).

    Figure 14Risks

    Four lines that would change Maya's mind

    What to checktoday's readingMaya's lineReported
    Signed work, in years of revenueevery quarter's results
    Building-and-making EBITDA marginthe yearly presentation
    Net working capital, % of revenueevery quarter's presentation
    Share of profit growth from other incomeevery quarter's results; 1 of 4 quarters so far
    Maya's lines are made up for this lesson: not L&T's targets, and not signals to buy or sell.

    Figure 15Risks

    Why write them early: Yes Bank, 2019

    the whole 2017 to 2020 road is in Technical vs Fundamental Analysis

    Wed 13 Feb 2019The bank says the RBI found no gap in its count of bad loansclose ₹169.45
    Thu 14 FebThe share jumps+30.6% to ₹221.25
    Fri 15 FebThe bank discloses an RBI letter: "deliberate attempt to mislead the public"where a written line would have said: re-check
    Tue 30 AprAfter its first quarterly loss, about ₹1507 crore (26 Apr)−29.2% to ₹168.00
    Yes Bank's share price on two days in 2019, against the close before.

    A note that had said "if the regulator contradicts management's account of bad loans, my reading fails" would have told its owner on 15 February exactly what to check again. The whole road, 2017 to 2020, is in technical vs fundamental analysis.

    What a line is not: it is not a stop price (risk management 101 sets those) and not a prediction. It is the point at which the note's middle column, the assumptions, must be rewritten. Write it while you are calm: a reader who writes it after the news tends to move it (trading psychology).

    Maya

    That's a lot of pages. Can I put it all on one?

    Chapter 9Note

    A Dated Research Note

    What I know, what I assume, what would change my mind, and when I check again

    Research ends in one dated page: the question, what I know (each fact with its source), what I assume, what would change my mind, and when I will check again. It explains a reading; it never gives a verdict.

    Here is Mr. Chartist's file on L&T, reduced to one page. Every line in the first column has a source; the second column is his reading, and could be wrong; the third says what would make him read again.

    Figure 16The research note

    The case file on one page

    L&T · Larsen & Toubro Limited · NSE: LT · ISIN INE018A01030Written 30 Oct 2026 · price ₹3837.10, NSE close, 29 Oct 2026 · filings of 27 Oct and 5 May 2026, shareholding at 30 Sep 2026 · consolidated

    QuestionWhat does L&T earn, from whom, how well, with what debt and owners, and what does today's price assume?

    What I knoweach with its source

    Governments and energy companies pay it to build: ₹853514 crore of signed work, about 2.8 years of revenue; 54% abroad, 40% in the Middle East. Results, 27 Oct 2026 · derived

    July to September 2026: sales +16%; operating margin 8.7%, from 10.0%; operating profit +0.6%. Presentation, 27 Oct 2026

    Profit for owners +33%; 72% of the rise came from other income. Results, 27 Oct 2026 · derived

    FY26 profit ₹16084 crore, after a one-time ₹1155 crore provision. FY26 release, 5 May 2026

    About 90% of group borrowing is its lending arm's; net working capital 1.7% of revenue. Presentation, 27 Oct 2026 · derived

    No promoter; the employees' trust is the largest holder, 14.56%. Shareholding, 30 Sep 2026

    P/E 32.8 on FY26 (29.5 on the last four quarters), P/B 4.67, yield 0.99%; the Nifty 50's P/E 19.19. NSE close, 29 Oct 2026 · derived

    What I assumemy reading

    Signed work turns into revenue over about three years.

    Building-and-making margins stay near 8 paise a rupee.

    Customers keep paying ahead, so cash keeps pace with profit.

    The price assumes profits keep growing for years: at 10% a year it would be about 18 times year-five earnings.

    What would change my mind

    Signed work below about two years of revenue

    The building-and-making margin below 7% for a year

    Net working capital above 10% of revenue

    Profit growth mainly from other income for a year

    A modified audit opinion, or a regulator's finding against the company

    Next checkThe results for October to December 2026 (date not announced on 30 Oct 2026) and the shareholding pattern at 31 Dec 2026.

    Mr. Chartist's note on L&T. Switch to the blank to copy the five headings.

    Your turn: copy the five headings (question, what I know, what I assume, what would change my mind, next check) for any company you study. A note that fits on one page, with dates, is one you will actually read again. Build your first watchlist turns notes into a routine.

    The note has no decision in it, on purpose. Before any money moves, one more question needs an answer: if the reading is wrong, how much could you lose, and how many shares does that allow? That is the next lesson, risk management 101.

    Before you go

    Check yourself

    4 questions from this lesson. Pick an answer to see why, then slide on to the next.

    Question 1 of 4

    Maya types LT into her app and five shares come up. How does she make sure her notes are about Larsen & Toubro itself?

    Questions readers ask

    Common questions

    How do I research a stock as a beginner?

    Start with one question the company's filings can answer, and confirm the exact share by its ISIN. Then read who pays the business and for what, its growth and margins, what its profit is made of, its debt and working capital, who owns it, and what the price assumes. Write it in a dated one-page note.

    What should a stock research note include?

    The company, its ISIN and the date; the price and its date; the question; what you know, each fact with its source; what you assume; what would change your mind, as checkable lines; and when you will check again. It explains your reading; it is not a buy or sell verdict.

    What is a good P/E ratio?

    There is no single good number. A P/E says how many rupees (or dollars) buyers pay for one of a year's earnings; compare it only on the same earnings period, with similar businesses and the company's own past. On 29 October 2026, L&T's was 32.8 on its last full year's earnings (29.5 on its last four quarters) and the Nifty 50's was 19.19.

    What is the difference between P/E, P/B and EV/EBITDA?

    P/E compares the price with profit per share; P/B with the owners' book value per share; EV/EBITDA compares the whole business's value, including debt and less cash, with its operating earnings. Each hides something: P/E ignores debt, P/B misses what the books do not record, and EV fits lenders badly.

    What is earnings quality?

    How much of a company's profit comes from its ordinary work, will repeat and turns into cash. From July to September 2026, 72% of the rise in L&T's profit came from other income, mostly earned on its cash, and a one-time gain; its operating profit rose 0.6%.

    Words to keep

    The 17 words this lesson used, in plain English

    Word 1 of 171 of 17

    Research question

    A question the evidence can settle: what L&T earns, from whom, how well, with what debt and owners, and what its price assumes.

    Sources for further reading

    19 sources

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